May 1995
Colorado-Wyoming Chapter

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1995 Spring Chapter Meeting:
Friday, May 5

The ASA Colorado-Wyoming Chapter Annual Spring Meeting will be held on Friday May 5, 1995 In Boulder, CO at the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST)
Theme: There is no formally designated theme for this year's meeting. Presentations addressing any aspect of the practice of statistics are welcomed, and it is hoped that there will be papers from a variety of applied and theoretical areas to suit all tastes.

As in the past, presentations are limited to twenty-five minutes including discussion. There will also be the usual student session, contingent upon a sufficient number of submitted papers.

Deadlines: April 25, 1995 - Student papers Send to: Jack Wang
April 28, 1995 - Abstracts of all other papers
Mail Stop 882, NIST
Boulder, CO 80303

Keynote Speaker: Arthur P. Dempster, Ph.D., Harvard University

Keynote Address: Models, Modeling, and the Principle of Complementarity Arthur P. Dempster, Department of Statistics, Harvard University

Abstract: By "Principle of Complementarity" I mean Bohr's idea that pairs of concepts defining corresponding positions that might be seen as distinct or in conflict can often be regarded as coexisting elements of a larger picture. Four basic complementarities that affect statistical practice, and that interact both within and among pairs are:
Informal discourse - Formal discourse
Subjectivity - Objectivity
Logic - Procedure
Problem-analysis - Data-analysis.

Explicit recognition of these and other complementarities can help to clarify and systematize discussions of what statistical practice is about. In my talk I will analyze the interactions among several complementary pairs, and apply the analysis to explanations of what models are and to related matters of model choice and model dependence.

                   PROGRAM (Updated May 3, 1995) 

 08:30--09:00 am   Registration and Coffee

                   KEYNOTE SPEECH

 09:00--10:00 am   Arthur P. Dempster, Department of Statistics,
                   Harvard University, Cambridge MA
                   Models, modeling, and the principle of Complementarity


 10:00--10:15 am   Break

                   INVITED PAPERS

 10:15--10:40 am   George P. McCabe, Department of Statistics,
                   Purdue University, West Lafayette IN
                   The home court advantage in BIG 10 basketball

 10:40--11:05 am   Richard H. Jones, Department of Preventive Medicine
                   and Biometrics,
                   University of Colorado, Denver CO
                   Investigating long range predictability in Meteorology

 11:05--11:30 am   Luning Li, NCAR, Boulder CO
                   AR hidden Markov chain models

 11:30--12:00 pm   Thomas J. Boardman and Jennifer Hoeting,
                   Department of Statistics,
                   Colorado State University, Fort Collins CO
                   Using on and off campus projects in Statistics classes

 12:00--01:15 pm   Lunch

                   STUDENT PAPERS

 01:15--01:35 pm   Bradley Biggerstaff, Department of Statistics,
                   Colorado State University, Fort Collins CO
                   (Research Adviser: Richard L. Tweedie)
                   Incorporating sensitivity to estimates of heterogeneity
                   in the random effects model in meta--analysis

 01:35--01:55 pm   Brad Warner, Department of Preventive Medicine and
                   Biometrics,
                   University of Colorado, Denver CO
                   (Research Adviser: Richard H. Jones)
                   Combining complex prediction models with additive models

 01:55--02:15 pm   Yong--Cheng Wang, Department of Statistics,
                   Colorado State University, Fort Collins CO
                   (Research Adviser: Jagdish N. Srivastava)
                   Non--additivity of row--column designs in clinical trials


 02:15--02:35 pm   Veng Va Lam, Department of Statistics,
                   Colorado State University, Fort Collins CO
                   (Research Advisor: Phillip L. Chapman)
                   CUSUM control chart with variable sampling scheme

 02:35--02:55 pm   A. Rose Shaw, Department of Mathematical Sciences,
                   University of Northern Colorado, Greeley CO
                   (Research Advisor: Donald T. Searls)
                   A non--parametric horizontal distance test of whether
                   two independent samples of equal size are from the
                   same population

 02:55--03:15 pm   Break (Soft Drinks and Cookies)

                   STUDENT PAPERS

 03:15--03:35 pm   Eileen Brown, Department of Statistics,
                   Colorado State University, Fort Collins CO
                   (Research Advisor: Hari K. Iyer)
                   Using tolerance intervals for bioequivalence trials

 03:35--03:55 pm   Richard Sutton, Department of Statistics,
                   Colorado State University, Fort Collins CO
                   (Research Advisor: Ronald W. Butler)
                   Saddlepoint approximations to multivariate CDFs in
                   sampling theory

                   INVITED PAPERS

 03:55--04:20 pm   Donald T. Searls, Department of Mathematical Sciences,
                   University of Northern Colorado, Greeley CO
                   ``Throw--away zones'' for probability density functions

 04:20--04:45 pm   Ken G. Gerow, Department of Statistics,
                   University of Wyoming, Laramie WY
                   Parasite guilds in Wyoming ground squirrels -- an
                   application of logistic regression

 04:45--05:10 pm   Kevin J. Coakley, NIST, Boulder CO
                   Kinetics of ultra--cold trapped atoms


                   DINNER AND SOCIAL GATHERING at the BOULDER CORK
                   3295 30th Street, Boulder (map enclosed)


 05:30--06:30 pm   Social Hour

 06:30--           Dinner
  
                   The Boulder Cork
                   3295 30th St,
                   Boulder CO.
  

Happy hour begins at 5:30 with a cash bar, followed by dinner at 6:30 and a short business meeting after dinner. The Boulder Cork provides excellent food and service and you will be able to order from a selection of entrees including prime rib, teriyaki chicken, fresh 'catch of the day' in parchment, or broiled salmon. The meal also includes salad, soup, and rolls.

  
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PreRegistration: COWY 1995 Spring Meeting Registration:

Registration must be received with payment by Monday, May 1. Walk-up registration is available for the conference only for $10.00. Please check the appropriate block below and mail this form and payment

to Anna Baron, Jack Wang (address above), or Richard Tweedie

                                           

NAME:_____________________________________

AFFILIATION:______________________________

PHONE:____________________________________

Check applicable block:
                                          regular     student
  conference only                     []  $8.00       []$5.00
  conference + dinner                 []  $32.00      []$29.00
  dinner only                         []  $24.00      []$24.00