Nov 1997
Colorado-Wyoming Chapter

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American Statistical Association
Colorado-Wyoming Chapter

Volume 29, Number 2 Newsletter
November 1, 1997

Winter Meeting - January 14, 1998

University of Colorado at Denver 5:30 - 5:45 p.m. Social time

1250 14th Street (1/2 block from Larimer Square) 5:45 - 6:30 p.m. Presentation

Denver, Colorado 6:30 - ?:?? p.m. Informal dinner

Room 470

Our guest speaker for this event will be Major Jim Simpson, Ph.D. from the US Air Force. He will be discussing the use of design of experiments (DOE) as applied to CV-22 Osprey flight testing. The Osprey is a tiltrotor aircraft; it can take off and land like a helicopter. However, once airborne, its blades can be rotated to convert the aircraft to a turboprop airplane capable of high-speed, high-altitude flight. Testing of four new "production representative" V-22s is under way. The Department of Defense has placed its initial order for 16 V-22s and plans to purchase 523 (425 - Marine Corps; 50 - Air Force Special Operations Command; 48 - Navy), with deliveries scheduled to begin in 1999 to the Marines (source: Bell/Boeing tiltrotor newsletter). DOE techniques are being implemented to reduce the number of flight tests necessary for verification of the aircraft's procurement requirements. Major Simpson is recognized by the Air Force as an expert in the application of DOE. He will share with us his experience and insights into this very "real world."


Chapter News

New ASA Fellow:

The local chapter extends its congratulations to Richard Tweedie of Colorado State University who was named a Fellow of the American Statistical Association.

Newsletter Editor

Both an old position and a newly created position have been filled. The old position is that of newsletter editor and this is probably as good a time as any to introduce myself to the membership. My name is Jack Powers and I am new to both the region and the profession. I am employed by Ball Corporation in Westminster, CO as the manager of the Chemistry Laboratory. As my title at Ball indicates, I started life as a chemist, but over the years became increasingly interested in statistics. My wife nudged me into action one day when she came home with a course schedule and bulletin from Ball State University. Thus, my new career was launched.

Ball Corporation gave me a different type of nudge this summer when it moved our laboratory (benches and all) from Muncie, Indiana to Westminster. This move happened one month after completing the requirements for a masters in statistics. My advisor's parting words were to get active in the local chapter, so I did.

Any newsletter editor needs your help if the letter is to reach its full potential. This is especially true in this case, as your editor is so new to the chapter. Please tell me what is going on with regard to meetings, publications, moves, promotions and the like. My E-mail address is jpower@ball.com.

Webmaster

A new position of "Webmaster"; has been created and our first Webmaster is Jim zumBrunnen of Colorado State University. It has been proposed that this position be a chapter officer and votes will be taken on that in the future.

In a recent ASA survey, about 30% of the members polled did not know that the ASA has a web site. This web site is full of useful information, such as membership listings, LaTeX Macros, upcoming conferences, and job listings. You can visit the ASA homepage at http://www.amstat.org/. In addition, thanks to Jim zumBrunnen, our chapter has its own homepage. You can stay informed by turning your web browser to http://www.stat.colostate.edu/ASA/.

After receiving his masters in mathematics and teaching high school for one year, Jim served two years as a mathematical specialist in a computer division of the US Army at Fitzsimmons Hospital in Aurora. Following two years as a statistical program consultant at North Dakota State University, he completed his master's degree in statistics at Iowa State University. In 1974 he came to the Statistics Department at Colorado State University. He is now the Associate Director of the Statistical Laboratory and of the Center for Applied Statistical Analysis.

Jim says he enjoys the interaction with researchers at CSU and with clients off campus. He has also served as an expert witness in court cases on topics as varied as a land condemnation appraisal and a Title IX sex discrimination suit.

As webmaster for the ASA Chapter homepage, Jim is looking forward to using the advanced features of Frontpage 98 to maintain the attractive pages. Please let him know if you have suggestions on improving the design or adding features to our chapter page.Did You Get Our Last E-mail?

Very recently we sent out an E-mail to all members for whom we have an E-mail address. If you have not received an E-mail from us, we probably don't have your E-mail address or we have your wrong E-mail address. If you didn't get our last message and want to receive future messages, please send your E-mail address to Joan Kopp (73144.3340@compuserve.com).

Nominations Wanted

Nominations are being taken for the 1998 officer elections. If anybody is interested in serving as President-Elect or Secretary please contact one of the current officers. The term of office for President-Elect is one year, with the understanding that you will be the President the following year. The usual term of office for the Secretary is two years. Being an officer in the chapter is a great way to meet new people and promote the statistical profession.

Maurice Davies Memorial Awards

Awards are available for outstanding statistics majors from schools in the chapter area, in honor of Maurice Davies, a founder of the chapter. One undergraduate or graduate student from a school may receive an award. The award carries with it a one-year student membership in the American Statistical Association. If a department desires to present such an award, please send the chapter president the name of the student by March 15, 1998. It is the responsibility of the awarding department to inform the student that they have been selected and invite them to be our guest at the spring meeting in Colorado Springs. A member of the department should accompany the student to the meeting and introduce them during the award presentation. It is not necessary for a student to attend the meeting; the award can be mailed to them.

Not Receiving The Newsletter?

If a colleague should mention that he or she is not receiving the chapter newsletter, it could be that dues are in arrears. The cost of printing and mailing the newsletter is such that the chapter will only send it to those whose dues are paid. In those cases where dues have been paid and the newsletter was still not received, a chapter officer should be contacted.

Membership Expiration Dates

We hope that any lapses in membership are through oversight rather than design. If all goes well, a reminder of when your membership expires should be found on the newsletter mailing label.

Newsletter Sponsor

A special thanks to Air Academy Associates for sponsoring this issue of the newsletter. This generous donation frees funds for other chapter activities.

Winter Newsletter Deadline

Any information to be included in the next newsletter should be submitted to Jack Powers by January 15, 1998. It should be noted that information can be submitted any time before that.

Member Activities

Several members were kind enough to answer our call for news of their activities. I am grateful to those who did and hope that in the process of cutting and pasting this newsletter together, I did not butcher their dispatches too badly. As a newcomer to the region, I find these updates quite interesting.

Rick Edgeman, Professor and Co-Director of the Center for Quality & Productivity Improvement at Colorado State University is in Denmark from July, 1997 to July 1998, where he is Visiting Professor of Total Quality Management in the Quality & Innovation Research Group at the Aarhus School of Business. He can be contacted by E-mail at RLE@HHA.DK

As part of his sabbatical activities, Rick is teaching in the European Masters Program in Total Quality Management, a program which involves ten universities from a similar number of Scandinavian and Western European nations. It will soon include Colorado State University as the first U.S. university

participant. This activity will take Rick to Sweden in the spring, where he will be teaching a course on response surface analysis for product & process optimization. Rick will also be in Germany in April, presenting a week of lectures at Kaiserslautern University.

Since July, Rick has been lecturing and meeting with quality & reliability engineering professionals in England, Scotland, Ireland and Denmark, and in the spring will be meeting with individuals in Sweden, Germany, Switzerland, and France. This activity is part of an effort to assess Quality Improvement

Practices and Trends in Europe.

Tom Boardman has participated in a CASE Project (Center for Applied Statistical Expertise at CSU) involving electric transmission operators (TOs) in California. Procedures are being sought to track how well lines in various voltage classes perform under new operations. Engineering Data Management received the contract and after several meetings with the TOs sought help from CASE.

Tom was awarded the Ellis Ott Award for his work in applied statistics and management by the Ott Foundation and American Society for Quality in the New York area. Ott was the chair of the Department of Statistics at Rutgers University when Tom and Eileen were graduate students. The award was presented at their ASQ 49th Annual Conference. Tom also gave a talk on "Ten Strategies for Improving Products, Services, or Processes."

Tom was invited to give a keynote address at Corning's Quality Network Forum, October 9 - 10, 1997 in Corning, NY. His topic was "Tons of Data ... Little Information: Making Knowledge Based Decisions." Tom was also persuaded to lead a workshop for 37 of Corning's statisticians on Oct. 8-9. Topics will include "Statistical Thinking for Business Improvement," "Assessing Measurement Processes," and "Are Statistical Thinking and Methods on the Decline in Corporate America? And If So, What Can

Statisticians Do about It?"

Tom was recently elected 1998 Chair-Elect of the ASA Q&P Section.Rick Engeman sent a report on the National Wildlife Research Center. All Denver employees have now been transferred to Fort Collins. However the "Center" is now distributed among 5 building locations throughout Fort Collins. This inconvenient situation will change once a new office building is built adjacent to the already completed animal research building on CSU's foothills campus.

Rick continues to conduct statistical research and consulting under the official title of biologist (which is mostly a quirk of the federal job classification system). The past year was another hectic travel year for him. As in the past 2 years, most travel was for a long-term project on Guam to provide a scientific evaluation of the efficacy of control and containment methods for preventing the spread of brown tree snakes from Guam.

Rick made another trip to Alaska in September to consult on a project monitoring the movements of geese in the Anchorage-Elmendorf Air Force Base area. These abundant birds pose a significant hazard to the aircraft at the many airports in the area and, in fact, were responsible for the crash of an AWACS plane a few years ago. While there, he also consulted on a project to protect waterfowl from consuming the highly toxic white phosphorus present on an artillery range at Fort Richardson.

Rick's most recent trip was to Snowmass to meet representatives of the International Association of Game and Fish Agencies responsible for upcoming multi-year tests (on the bases of efficiency, humaneness, etc.) of traps for 22 species of furbearers. The testing methods and results potentially could have an important impact on international commerce in furs between Europe and North America.

Publications since the last report:

M.E. Tobin, A.E. Koehler, R.T. Sugihara and R.M. Engeman. 1996. "Effects of stage of nut development and simulated rat damage on macadamia yields."; Seventeenth Vertebrate Pest Conference. 17:119-122.

R.M. Engeman, R.M. Anthony, Heather W. Krupa and J. Evans. 1996. "The effects of Vexar seedling protectors on the growth and development of lodgepole pine roots." Crop Protection. 16:57-61.

R.M. Engeman and E.M. Engeman. 1996. "Longevity of Woodhouse's toad in Colorado." Northwestern Naturalist. 77:23.

R.M. Engeman, V. Barnes, R.M. Anthony and H.W. Krupa. 1997. "Effect of vegetation management for reducing damage to lodgepole pine seedlings from northern pocket gophers." Crop Protection. 16:407 410.

M.A. Linnell, D.V. Rodriguez, R.E. Mauldin and R.M. Engeman. 1997. irregularis: Incubation and Diet. SSAR Herpetological Review. 28:153.


Pot Pourri

Contest: Who's The Oldest?

Did you know that the American Statistical Association (ASA) is the second oldest professional association in the country? It was founded in 1839 in Boston. Which professional association is older than ASA? The first correct answer wins a free lunch at the ASA spring meeting. The winner and answer will be published in the next newsletter. Proof of your answer is required since none of the CO-WY ASA officers know the correct answer.

Tour Guides Wanted

Eunmee Koh is looking for people who work in companies where statistical techniques are applied to increase quality, productivity, etc. She would like to set up some tours for her students who are taking an introductory statistics course, the idea being that students will be able to see first hand that statistics can help you do a better job. If you can help Ms. Koh, please contact her at (303) 937-4286 or ekoh@tlhu.edu.


CO-WY ASA SPRING MEETING

When: March 27, 1998

What: Student Paper Competition (8:30 a.m. - 12:00)

Awards Luncheon (12:00 - 1:00 p.m.)

Where: Antlers Doubletree Hotel

Four South Cascade

Colorado Springs, CO 80903

(719) 473-5600 or 1(800) 222-TREE

Cost: $15.00 (includes choice of lunch)

Cajun Chicken Salad

*Fresh fruit cup

*Rolls and butter

*Sliced blackened chicken breast on romaine lettuce in a fried tortilla bowl, with tomato wedges, olives, julienned peppers, honey mustard vinaigrette

*Chef's choice dessert

Grilled Mahi Mahi

*Antlers high mountain salad with wildflower vinaigrette and ranch dressing

*Rolls and butter

*Grilled Mahi Mahi topped with tropical fruit

*Fresh seasonal vegetables

*Rice

*Chef's choice dessert

Tortellini Primavera

*Antlers high mountain salad with wildflower vinaigrette and ranch dressing

*Tri-colored cheese tortellini tossed with fresh alfredo sauce and vegetables, served with garlic bread

*Fresh seasonal vegetables

*Chef's choice dessert

A registration form can be found on the back sheet of the newsletter.

Call for Student Papers - Spring Meeting 98

This year, the chapter's spring meeting will be held at the Antlers Doubletree in downtown Colorado Springs. The meeting will feature the annual student presentation competition and an awards luncheon. Students wishing to partake in the 15-minute presentation competition should submit an abstract of 200 words or less to:

William Navidi

The Department of Mathematical and Computer Sciences

Colorado School of Mines

Golden, CO 80401-1887

(303) 273-3489 FAX 273-3875

wnavidi@mines.edu

ABSTRACT DEADLINE: March 3, 1998.

There will be a $50 cash prize for winning the competition. In addition, this year we will initiate the "CO-WY ASA Best Student Presentation Award." This will be a traveling award with "bragging rights" going to the school that produces the best presentation. The award will be engraved with the winning student's name and also his/her advisor's name. The announcement of other awards received by CO-WY ASA members will also be appropriate. Just let the program chair know about any awards that you would like announced and we will be happy to do it.

Call for Support

Cash donations for student awards at the spring meeting are being solicited from the membership. This is a worthy cause. If we think back to our student days, we should remember how far a little encouragement would go. This year we have the added incentive that our contributions will be matched (up to $250). Please send any donations to:

Snehalata Huzurbazar

P.O. Box 3332 Dept. of Statistics

University of Wyoming

Laramie, WY 82071

Call for Presentations - Western Statistics Teacher's Conference (WeSTCo)

The CO-WY ASA Chapter will be sponsoring a conference on teaching statistics. The goals of the conference are to improve the art of teaching statistics by the sharing of: 1) Creative and innovative methods for teaching statistics. 2) Wisdom gained from past experiences of teaching statistics. 3) A good time that builds camaraderie among colleagues. The conference will follow the spring meeting on 27 March at 1:30 PM. The conference will run through 28 March 1998 and cost $190 (includes 3 meals). Abstracts for 15 minute presentations are being accepted by Jim Rutledge. For more information and a list of invited speakers, please visit the conference homepage at http://www.concentric.net/~Jimstat/. If you have any questions concerning the teachers' conference, feel free to contact Brad Warner at (719) 333-2981 (WarnerBA.DFMS@USAFA.AF.MIL), or Jim Rutledge at (719) 333-4470 (RutledgeJH.DFMS@USAFA.AF.MIL).

Job Openings

It is recognized that these ads may be a bit "stale" by the time they are published in the newsletter. We publish them nonetheless so that the membership may get an idea of what opportunities are out there. Those who are actively pursuing a career change should consult the chapter web page. All notices received by the newsletter editor are forwarded to Jim zumBrunnen and posted on the web page.

Research Triangle Institute

Survey Directors

The Research Triangle Institute, a leading nonprofit survey research organization with offices in Research Triangle Park, NC, and the Washington, DC area, currently has career opportunities for Survey Directors and Senior Survey Directors.

Responsibilities include project management, survey design, survey operations, proposal writing and costing, and marketing. Advanced degree in a related field (e.g., Statistics, Sociology) preferred,

with at least three years of comparable work experience.

RTI offers excellent opportunities for career growth, competitive salary and excellent benefits. To apply, applicants should send their resume to:

MR. KIRK PATE

SENIOR SURVEY DIRECTOR

RESEARCH TRIANGLE INSTITUTE

P.O. BOX 12194

RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NC 27709-2194

(E-MAIL: DKP@RTI.ORG; FAX: 919-541-1261)

To learn more about RTI, please visit our web site at http://www.rti.org.

Eli Lilly And Company

Clinical Research Opportunities

**IMMEDIATE OPENINGS** Clinical Statisticians and Scientific Systems Analysts

Eli Lilly and Company has immediate needs for statisticians, systems analysts, and data analysts supporting global clinical trial activities. Candidates will be given the opportunity to develop critical business expertise within a therapeutic area, working closely with customers on one of several co-located, cross-functional teams or in the central medical systems or statistics area.

Ideal systems and data analyst candidates will possess a strong background in development of requirements and in data analysis, SAS and SAS Macros in an IBM MVS/TSO mainframe environment. Experience in a clinical trial environment is preferred. Testing, validation and documentation are also key skills.

Ideal statistician candidates will have experience in a collaborative medical research environment, designing and conducting data analyses, developing clinical trial protocols, and publishing study results.

Permanent and temporary positions are available. Interested candidates should forward their resumes to:

ELI LILLY AND COMPANY

LILLY CORPORATE CENTER

INDIANAPOLIS, IN 46285

ATTN. JEFF PREDAJNA, DC 2235 (SYSTEMS ANALYSTS)

OR ATTN. VIN RAMPEY, DC 0537 (STATISTICIANS)

Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.

Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., a leading employee-owned survey research organization, is seeking a manager to oversee and direct its growing staff of systems analysts and programmers in its Princeton, NJ office. The staff provide automated support to survey operations, data processing, and data base management.

The manager supervises three systems analysts and six programmers to meet the needs of clients and the company, leads the staff in designing and implementing systems to support data collection operations, and recommends hardware and software to meet the company's needs.

We are looking for a manager who is experienced designing automated support of survey operations and managing systems programmers and analysts.

This is an excellent opportunity for someone who is interested in developing innovative and efficient computing solutions to meet the needs of a growing survey research organization.

MPR offers a competitive salary and benefits package. To apply, send a resume and salary requirements to:

MR. PATRICK MOONEY

MATHEMATICA POLICY RESEARCH, INC.

P.O. BOX 2393

PRINCETON, NJ 08543

(609) 799-3535

FAX: (609) 799-0005

E-MAIL: PMOONEY@MATHEMATICA-MPR.COM

Visit our website at www.mathematica-mpr.com for further information about our research and survey activities.

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CO-WY ASA SPRING MEETING REGISTRATION FORM

NAME_______________________________________________________________________

ORGANIZATION______________________________________________________________

ADDRESS____________________________________________________________________

CITY_____________________________________ STATE_______ ZIP______________

E-MAIL___________________________ PHONE____________________________

LUNCH (circle one): CAJUN CHICKEN MAHI MAHI TORTELLINI

Make check payable to CO-WY ASA. Space is limited to 60 participants, so early registration is advised. If you have any questions please call Jim Rutledge (719) 333-4470 or Bill Navidi (303) 273-3489. You can also reach them at RutledgeJH.DFMS@USAFA.AF.MIL or wnavidi@mines.edu. Send check and registration form to:

Major Jim Rutledge

HQ USAFA/DFMS

2354 Fairchild Drive, Suite 6D2A

USAF Academy, CO. 80840-6252

Joan Baron Kopp, Secretary

American Statistical Association

Colorado Wyoming Chapter

2 Silver Cloud Lane

Boulder, CO 80302-9438