Geof H. Givens: Publications

Caution: This page is somewhat out of date!

Click on the number to download a (PostScript and pdf) manuscript. Email me for information about other manuscripts or formats. Some files here may be slightly out-of-date, not containing every last-minute revision to the final version; therefore the final versions should be obtained from the relevant journals. The prototype SimModPV software for visualization, transformation, and pooling of prior distributions for the parameters of a simulation model is available here.

Book

2005

 36. Computational Statistics, G.H. Givens and J.A. Hoeting, available from John Wiley and Sons, April 2005.

Submitted For Publication

2006

 ... 38. Detecting temporal genetic structuring of migrating bowhead whales off the coast of Barrow, Alaska. (with P.E. Jorde, T. Schweder, J.W. Bickham, R.S. Suydam, and N.C. Stenseth) , submitted to Molecular Ecology.
37. Examination of stock structure hypotheses for Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort Seas bowhead whales based on microsatellite data. (with J.W. Bickham, C.W. Matson, I. Ozaksoy, R.S. Suydam, and J.C. George), submitting to Conservation Genetics.

Peer-Reviewed and Invited Publications

2004 35. How features of the human face affect recognition: a statistical comparison of three face recognition algorithms, IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, June 2004: 381-388.

2003

 34. A statistical assessment of subject factors in the PCA recognition of human faces, (with J.R. Beveridge, B.A. Draper, and D. Bolme), 2003, IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, December, 2003.
33. Empirical estimation of safe aboriginal whaling limits for bowhead whales, 2002, Journal of Cetacean Research and Management, 5: 39-44.

2002

 ....

32. Problematic likelihood functions from sensible population dynamics models: a case study, (with D. Poole), 2002, Ecological Modelling, 151: 109-124.

2001

 31. A nonparametric statistical comparison of principal component and linear discriminant subspaces for face recognition, (with J.R. Beveridge, S. Kai, and B. Draper), 2001, IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, December, 2001: 535-42.
30. Supra-Bayesian pooling of priors linked by a deterministic simulation model, (with P. Roback), 2001, Communications in Statistics -- Simulation and Computing, 30: 447-476.
29. An exploratory assessment of the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort Seas stock of bowhead whales using a stochastic population dynamics model, (with D. Poole), 2000, J. Cetacean Research and Management, 3: 1-6.
28. Comment on 'Estimation of fetal growth and gestation in bowhead whales', (with D. Poole), 2001, Invited comment on 2001 JASA Applications and Case Studies Award Paper, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 96: 926-8.

2000

 27. Adjusting for publication and quality bias in Bayesian meta-analysis , (with D. Smith and R.L. Tweedie) 2000, in Meta-analysis in Medicine and Health Policy, D.K. Stangl and D.A. Berry (Eds.), Marcel Dekker, New York, pp. 277-304.
26. Issues related to the specification of trials for the Eastern North Pacific stock of gray whales , (with A.E. Punt) 2000, J. Cetacean Research and Management, 2(Suppl.): 153-154.

1999

 25. Multicriterion decision merging: competitive development of an aboriginal whaling management procedure 1999, J. American Statistical Association, 94: 1003-1014.
24. Logarithmic pooling of priors linked by a deterministic simulation model , (with P. Roback) 1999, J. Computational and Graphical Statistics, 8: 452-478.
23. On a proposed stock assessment method and its application at the International Whaling Commission (with D. Poole and A.E. Raftery) 1999, Fishery Bulletin, 97, 144-152.
22. Strike limit algorithm optimisation: a realistic example , 1999, J. Cetacean Research and Management, 1: 75-83.
21. Equivalence tuning of strike limit algorithms , (with A.E. Punt and T.A.O. Bernstein), 1999, J. Cetacean Research and Management, 1: 289-295.
20. Bayesian population dynamics modeling using uncertain historical catch, surveyed abundances, and biological priors , 1999, in Marine Mammal Survey and Assessment Methods, G.W. Garner et al. (Eds.), A.A. Balkema, Amsterdam, pp. 225-238.

1998

 19. Bootstrapping pharamacokinetic models: visualization of predictive and parameter uncertainty. (with C.A. Hunt and S. Guzy) 1998, Pharmaceutical Research, 15: 690-697.
18. AWMP development and diverse prototypes, 1998, Rep. int. Whal. Commn, 48: 483-495.

1997

 17. Bayesian data-augmented meta-analysis that account for publication bias issues exemplified in the passive smoking debate (with D.D. Smith and R.L. Tweedie) 1997, Statistical Science, 12: 221-250.
16. Bowhead aboriginal management scheme trials and statistics (with D. Thomas) 1997, Rep. int. Whal. Commn, 47: 851-864.
15. Designing catch control laws that reflect the intent of aboriginal subsistence management principles (with P. Wade) 1997, Rep. int. Whal. Commn, 47: 871-874.
14. Sample bowhead aboriginal management scheme trials (with D. Thomas) 1997, Rep. int. Whal. Commn, 47: 875-884.

1996

 13. Local adaptive importance sampling for multivariate densities with strong nonlinear relationships (with A.E. Raftery) 1996, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc., 91: 132-41.
12. Alternative Bayesian synthesis approaches to Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort Seas bowhead whale stock assessment: uncertainty in historic catch and hitting with fixed MSYR (with S.E. Thompson) 1996, Rep. int. Whal. Commn, 46: 509-30.
11. Implementing the current management regime for aboriginal subsistence whaling to establish a catch limit for the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort Seas stock of bowhead whales (with J.E. Zeh and A.E. Raftery) 1996, Rep. int. Whal. Commn, 46: 593-600.
10. Confirmation, revision, and sensitivity analysis of the 1994 Scientific Committee assessment of the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort Seas stock of bowhead whales (with M.V. Bravington), 1996, Rep. int. Whal. Commn, 46: 501-508.

1995

 9. Inference from a deterministic population dynamics model for bowhead whales (with discussion) (with A.E. Raftery and J.E. Zeh), 1995, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc., 90: 402-430. (The 1994 JASA Applications and Case Studies Invited Paper and winner of the 1996 ASA Outstanding Statistical Application Award)
8. Consistency of the local kernel density estimator 1995, Stat. and Prob. Letters, 25: 55-61.
7. A method for determining uncertainty of predictions from deterministic epidemic models (with J.P. Hughes) 1995, In Proceedings of Health Sciences, Physiological and Pharmacological Simulation Studies, Proceedings of the 1995 Western Multiconference, J.G. Anderson and M. Katzper (Eds.), Society for Computer Simulation, San Diego, (1995) 205-210
6. Response to comments by Butterworth and Punt in SC/46/AS2 on the Bayesian synthesis approach (with A.E. Raftery and J.E. Zeh) 1995, Rep. int. Whal. Commn, 45: 325-330.
5. Assessment of the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort Seas stock of bowhead whales using the BALEEN II model in a Bayesian synthesis framework (with A.E. Raftery and J.E. Zeh) 1995, Rep. int. Whal. Commn, 45: 345-364.
4. Revised estimate of bowhead rate of increase (with A.E. Raftery and J.E. Zeh) 1995, Appendix 6 of Annex F, Report of the Scientific Committee, Rep. int. Whal. Commn, 45.

1994

 3. A reweighting approach for sensitivity analysis within the Bayesian synthesis framework for population assessment modeling (with A.E. Raftery and J.E. Zeh) 1994, Rep. int. Whal. Commn, 44: 377-384.

1993

 2. A Bayesian framework and importance sampling methods for synthesizing multiple sources of evidence and uncertainty linked by a complex mechanistic model, 1993, Ph.D. dissertation, Department of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle.
1. Benefits of a Bayesian approach for synthesizing multiple sources of evidence and uncertainty linked by a deterministic model (with A.E. Raftery and J.E. Zeh) 1993, Rep. int. Whal. Commn, 43: 495-500.

Other publications and manuscripts

.... 21. Parametric and nonparametric methods for the statistical evaluation of human ID algorithms, (with J.R. Beveridge, K. She, and B. Draper), 2001, Third Workshop On the Empirical Evaluation of Computer Vision Systems, December 2001.
........ 20. A strike limit algorithm for the management of aboriginal whaling for the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort Seas stock of bowhead whales, 2001, paper SC/53/AWMP3 presented to the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, July 2001.
19. A merging of two strike limit algorithms for the management of aboriginal whaling for the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort Seas stock of bowhead whales, 2001, paper SC/53/AWMP4 presented to the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, July 2001.
18. The 'Eva' and 'Geof' SLAs are within tuning distance, 2001, paper SC/53/AWMP7 presented to the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, July 2001.
17. Identifying scenario spaces, their outliers and redundancies, with application to bowhead AWMP evaluation trials, (with M. Huang), 2000, paper SC/52/AWMP4 presented to the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, June, 2000.
16. Identifying scenario spaces and outlying scenarios for AWMP simulation testing, (with M. Huang), 1999, paper SC/N99/AWMP5 presented to the International Whaling Commission Standing Working Group on Development of an Aboriginal Whaling Management Procedure, November, 1999.
15. A stochastic population dynamics model, 1999, paper SC/51/AWMP9 presented to the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, May, 1999.
14. Optimising strike limit algorithms: example search and results, 1999, paper SC/51/AWMP3 presented to the International Whaling Commission Standing Working Group on Development of an Aboriginal Whaling Management Procedure, May, 1999.
13. On statistical methods that permit and improve the use of simpler model-based strike limit algorithms, 1999, paper SC/51/AWMP4 presented to the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, May, 1999.
12. Comparing methods for optimising strike limit algorithms, 1999, paper SC/51/AWMP5 presented to the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, May, 1999.
11. Further investigation of aboriginal whaling management proceedure strike limit algorithms and their optimisation (with T.A.O. Bernstein), 1998, paper SC/50/AWMP5 presented to the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, May, 1998.
10. Communicating statistical results (with J.A. Hoeting) 1996.
9. Model validation and assessment of uncertainty in a deterministic model for gonorrhea (with J.P. Hughes) 1995.
8. A comparison of principles used by the IWC to manage commercial and subsistence whaling stocks (with D.P. DeMaster), Paper SC/47/AS7 submitted to the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, May 1995
7. Confirmation of the 1994 Scientific Committee assessment of the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort Seas stock of bowhead whales, and further sensitivity trials Paper SC/47/AS15 submitted to the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, May 1995
6. Assessment of the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort Seas stock of bowhead whales with updated abundance and trend data Paper SC/47/AS24 submitted to the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, May 1995
5. Borel's paradox and sensitivity analysis Paper SC/47/AS21 submitted to the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, May 1995.
4. The basis for the Scientific Committee's 1994 management advice on aboriginal subsistence whaling on the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort Seas stock of bowhead whales (with T.D. Smith and M.V. Bravington) Paper SC/47/AS19 submitted to the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, May 1995
3. Developing an aboriginal subsistence whaling management procedure: outline of a process (with T.D. Smith and M.V. Bravington) Paper SC/47/AS17 submitted to the Scientific Committee of the International Whaling Commission, May 1995.
2. Contribution to the discussion of `The Gibbs sampler and other Markov chain Monte Carlo Methods', 1993, J. R. Statist. Soc. B, 55: 75-76.
1. A Bayesian framework for exploiting stochastic evidence when modeling environmental systems (with A.E. Raftery and J.E. Zeh) 1993, Bulletin of the International Statistical Institute, 49th Session, Contributed Papers, Book 1, 495-96.